270
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What does the path to 270 look like? https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/ Our “snake” chart orders the states by forecasted margin of victory. Scroll to the left or right to see uncompetitive states; more contested states are in the middle. Bigger segments mean more Electoral College votes.
Harris wins 50 times out of 100 - in our simulations of the 2024 presidential election. - Trump wins 49 times out of 100. There is a less than 1-in-100 chance of no Electoral College winner.